LAUNCHING THE MEANINGLESS 2 RUN HOMER WITH THE TEAM DOWN 10-0 IN THE SIXTH.
I hit the pause on blogging for the past week or so since the Yankees were so completely vindicating The Yankees Suck post as to make further comment redundant. But now they've sunk a couple of more layers into the quagmire of complacency and defeatism, and Michael seems to think things are not as bad as they seem, that AROD will actually make a difference, and that Cashman is not a candidate for feckless and incompetent baseball executive of the decade (see comments on last post). So I have decided to declare war on whatever continuing state of denial might exist among the Yankees faithful (lest they begin to appear Yankees cultists or, worse, Yankees dupes).
My contention is that the Yankees of 2008, unlike the Yankees of 2007, are not underperforming. They're just horrible. That is why a) there will be no comeback this year, at least none that will get them into the playoffs, b) they stand a very good chance of finishing behind the Rays (who have better starting pitching, better middle relief, better team speed, better fielding, better situational hitting--hey, I guess they're just plain better!) and c) Hank is right, the blame lies not with the manager but the GM.
Let us clear out the first line of excuse the Yankees have essayed: the injuries. Well, first of all the injuries are merely a symptom of why this team is so bad. When my 90 year old Grandmom in law was lying fatally ill in the hospital, my father-in law--a great guy by the way--listened to her bemoan her fate for about twenty minutes before bursting out, "Well your old, that's what happens when you get old, you die." So true. And that's what happens when you get baseball old, you get hurt. The Yankees rely on a team that is filled with people over 30, over 35, and they will come down with injuries. The Yankees are not bad because they are hurt; they are hurt because, as team composition goes, they are bad. I mean if you think losing a 36 year old catcher to injury is a rough break, then I guess you think losing a 12 year old car to transmission problems is terrible luck.
Will the yankees dramatically improve with the return of AROD and Posada? No, they won't. Tonight told us all we need to know about AROD. He'll put up spectacular numbers while they're in last place--look at all he did for the Rangers in this regard--but the hits, homers and RBI's will be insufficiently meaningful (he's the master, after all, of the insufficiently meaningful) to transform their destiny. As for Posada, he was hitting a solid 270 with pop when he went down, and that's probably what he'll do when he returns. That is the offensive player Posada has, with the exception of last year, always been. Anyone who doesn't understand that last year was an outlier would be really stupid, and might do something really stupid, like I don't know, giving him a huge 3 year contract that begins at the very age when Mike Piazza, the greatest offensive catcher in MLB history was hanging them up. Posada will be fine, but he won't be transcendent and so he won't be able to bring this crew back to the top. Let's face it, when they were both in the lineup, the Yankees were a 500 team, with just AROD they're a game under 500, and without both of them, they were 4 games under 500. Not a game changer as Hillary would say. Yes, the Yankees looked significantly worse without these two, but that's only because Brian Cashman has used his record breaking payroll to assemble perhaps the worst bench in the history of supposedly elite teams. As the comments section below proves, Molina is one of the worst, if not the worst offensive back-up catchers in the game today. Letting the Sox get O'Casey for nothing, when we needed a first baseman and settled for the pathetic third sackers Betemit and Ensburg, is in itself a firing offense. When healthy, the Yankees have no pinch hitters worthy of the name; when injured they have no replacements that should even be in the major leagues. Evaluating talent, especially second line talent, and then acquiring it, this is what you pay a GM to do. That Cashman has so utterly failed, despite having the resources other teams can only envy, means that he should no longer be drawing a paycheck.
What is wrong with the Yankees is not just who is missing from the order, but who is out there in the field. And not just individually, as an interactive unit. The Yankees have few contact hitters, which is why they are so bad with men on base. AROD strikes out too much and pops up too much. He doesn't make quality outs and he doesn't deliver key singles and doubles. Giambi cannot hit at all with two outs. Over last year and this year Damon has ceased to be a lead off man of any credibilty: his on base percentage is dismal for that spot in the line-up. But beyond the individual deficiencies, this is not a batting line-up with a plan or strategy. Are they patient, are they aggressive? Whatever they are they should be so as a team. Abreu never puts the ball in play until he has a full count; Cano swings at the first pitch every time. Are they a team that will pressure you with speed: Damon seems to want to, Jeter maybe a little bit as well but after that nothing.
But of course they don't have a plan because the line-up hasn't been assembled to produce a coordinated effort, that blend of contact hitters, walk-takers, power properly placed, that gives you an offensive machine. Right now the Yankees are the Denver Nuggets of baseball: a collection of big names that don't have a clue how to work together, how to do the little things, how to become more than the sum of their parts. To the contrary, I don't know if I have ever seen a team so much less than the sum of its parts. And here again, it is the role of the GM, to evalute talent with an eye to its interrelation, its mutually reinforcing properties. Mike Lowell is not really a great hitter, but he is a dogged one, and after a pitcher has gotten through the meat grinder of Ortiz and Ramirez, whether scathed or unscathed, Lowell's doggedness is a much more dangerous proposition than the greater talents of another hitter (say a Soriano or Ryan Howard) would be. That is what constructing a line-up is about. Epstein has done it, Gene Michaels did it, and Cashman has decidedly not.
Nowhere is the failure of compostion more striking than in the field. Listen, the Yankees planned a rotation with 4 pitchers who pitch to contact (Pettite, Wang, Kennedy, and Mussina--who pitches to really good contact) yet they have assembled perhaps the most porous infield in the league, virtually guaranteeing that this type of pitcher will have limited success. Not one of their infielders is above average: Giambi is a disaster, he can't go right, can't charge the bunt, can't throw to any base accurately, and rarely saves the errant throw; Cano spaces out regularly, fails to cover bases, blows routine plays even while making spectacular ones; Jeter has no range at all anymore, his arm has become increasingly erratic, he makes more than his share of errors, and he has even started blowing the routine plays. AROD doesn't have an accurate enough arm to play third and is an error machine as a result. Bottom line, when these pitchers induce the grounders you are asking them to induce, the chances of the ball getting through or being bobbled, or throws going awry are far too high. Rallies start; the unfortunate pitcher is asked to throw more pitches, to keep hitting his spots, increasing the statistical probability of a mistake, a long ball, a gapper, a big inning. And no middle relief in sight. It is the business of the GM to assemble the team so that the tendencies of its pitchers coincide with its defensive strengths. Cashman has not done this; I'm not even sure Cashman knows he is supposed to do this.
These are just some of the nuts and bolts of the Frankenstein machine that Dr. Cashman has perpetrated upon an increasingly desperate fan base. Just think, the first 207 million dollar payroll in the history of baseball, exceeding the nearest payroll by more money than the entire payroll of several teams, and the team is not only in last place but deserves to be there, really is ineffective and ill-assorted enough to be there. This is a team that awards one player, one world class choke artist more money than the entire Marlins franchise, which by the way is in first place in a division that includes the Mets, Phillies and Braves, all with winning records. What can one say of the stewardship that would pay 200 plus million to construct a team this bad, a team without one power starting pitcher, a team with one starter clearly over the hill, a team without a middle relief corps, a team whose fifth place hitter, sixth place hitter, and ninth place hitter are all at or below the mendoza line, a team without any real speed, without any superior infielders, with only one player hitting over 300, and a lead off man below 250? Ladies and gentlemen, I implore you, isn't this simply the worst management dollar for dollar in the history of the game? It has to be.
To leave the cathedral of baseball, home to the most successful franchise in the recorded histroy of sport, on such an extravagantly dismal note can only be expiated with blood. And since we are not allowed to fire at Brian Cashman, though his crimes against baseball and Yankeedom are clearly capital, then we must at least demand that he be fired. Soemthing tells me Hankus will be happy to oblige.
Tuesday, May 20, 2008
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
6 comments:
I'm not in denial that the team is bad right now and may not make the playoffs, although I'm really not ready to throw in the towel when we're 6 games back of the Rays after a month without our two best players.
But I do disagree about Cashman. As I note below, Molina's career OPS is 618. Folks like that go 522 for a month. It happens. And there were no reasonable alternatives.
To take one of your points, the lack of power pitchers, it is Cashman who has been trying to develop them: Hughes, Chamberlain, Alan Horne, Dellin Betances, plus a bunch of relievers. For the first time in my 34 years as a Yankees fan, someone has realized that if you don't develop them yourself, you're stuck trading 3 top prospects for Johann Santana, plus paying $150 mil., prospects (including Dioner Navarro) plus a huge contract for over the hill Randy Johnson, or signing the likes of Carl Pavano or even the great Pedro Martinez, who's been mostly hurt throughout his Mets' contract. Even a successful trade for a great power pitcher, say the Sox getting Schilling is likely a mixed bag -- they've paid $60+ million for 5 seasons, of which he was an ace for one, very good for one, so-so for one, and useless for two. (Beckett's obviously worked out even better, but even there they gave up the Rookie of the Year, the kind of talent Cashman is trying to develop, and have gotten exactly one great year so far.)
M
I have no gripe with the development project, but it precisely Cashman's utterinability to evaluate pitching talent (Wright, Pavano, Brow, Farnsworth et al) that put them in this position. What's more,
when you have 200 million a year to spend,you need to be putting together teams that make some sense, that have some organic consistency. If you can't develop the power pitchers quickly enough, fine, make sure you have the necessary defensive help for your contact pitchers. don't spend ridiculaous sums of money on players that don't give you what you need, offensively or defensively. You need middle relief and a bench, so you can pick up some late inning wins. They have none of these things.
If you really appreciate how bad the Yankees are, then you have to concede that given how much they spend relative to every other team in the league, this is gross mismanagemnt of the highest order. And unlike Torre, who was responsible for winners in the past, Cashman has yet to field a team, in his entire tenure, that won a world series. His teams kicked in after the agony in the desert and we haven't been that close since. All he has done is fail, and now that he is operating independently of George, he is failing more egregiously than ever before.
Look at what Epstein has done now that Boston is willing to go high rent--Beckett and Ortiz and Lowell by trades, the Japanese recruiting system, the sterling bench players like O'Casey. Even making a series of blunders (Arroryo, Drew, Crisp), he's greatly improved their franchise. You don't have to bat a thousand or even near it. But you can't bat 200 either, or pick up reserve catchers who do.
Also, when did Posada become one of our two best players? He's a lifetime medium average, medium power catcher, who runs like he's moving through sludge, and his a slightly, and only slightly better than average catcher. If he really is one of our two best players, and the other is still looking for his firsty meaningfulk post-season hit in pinstripes, its no wonder we are so awful. But given how bad a shortstop Jeter has become and Matsui's inability to play the field, you might be right--which means we are screwed.
Oh, and did you say only 6 games behind the Rays!!!!!
Also, when did Posada become one of our two best players? He's a lifetime medium average, medium power catcher, who runs like he's moving through sludge, and his a slightly, and only slightly better than average catcher. If he really is one of our two best players, and the other is still looking for his firsty meaningfulk post-season hit in pinstripes, its no wonder we are so awful. But given how bad a shortstop Jeter has become and Matsui's inability to play the field, you might be right--which means we are screwed.
Oh, and did you say only 6 games behind the Rays!!!!!
Joe -
You have hit on the point that has bothered me for a long time - the lack of defense on the team. It has been hidden somewhat over the past few years because the hitting has been so good. Not any more. I can only imagine what the pitchers discuss when they are together! This defense is league average at best, and as you say, when you have a staff that pitches to contact, a porous defense will lose a lot of close games. And so they have.
Surprisingly, I am happier with the pitching staff than I expected to be. Pettitte and Mussina don't have much left, but there are many arms in the minors that are promising. I also believe, perhaps naively, that Kennedy, Hughes, and Chamberlain will form an excellent nucleus with Wang for years to come. The bullpen is certainly better than last year, with reinforcements waiting in Scranton and Trenton.
Back to the defense - you hit a nerve there! The only plus defender I see is Cabrera, who is still improving his routes and positioning and continues to show a strong, accurate arm. Cano could be great, but he makes too many mental errors and shows a lack of focus on routine plays. If he matures, he's Robby Alomar out there. But how long does it take? The guy has been next to Jeter for 4 years and he still doesn't seem to get it.
Every other position is manned by a player who is average or below as a fielder. The Yankees can win with that lineup IF they hit well and often. As we've seen so far, that is not happening.
Munson.
I just don't think that people generally appreciate the inportance of consistent defensive excellence. The failure to defend well taxes any pitching staff, and when your staff is older and more control driven like the yankees, fielding blunders and the absence of range is just death. Maybe they will hit their way out of this mess, but that will require, at the very least, a strong return from Posada, a sudden rebirth of Giambi, a recognizeably efficient cano, and an abrupt reversal of the long slow slide of Johnny Damon.
Post a Comment